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I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Discussions about Psychics and Psychic Phenomena, Extra Sensory Perception, Telepathy, Psi, Clairvoyancy, 6th Sense, Psychokinesis, etc.

Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 08:59

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 10:00

Dude, whether you consider each batch individually or add up the totals the expected average is 25%.

Considering each batch individually, the odds are about 2/7 of getting >=2 hits.
Considering the total hits / total words, the odds are 1/4 (2/8) of getting >=2 hits.

The error is very small (1/8) if my TOTAL RATIO is <=50%.

Do you get that far? Statistics use approximate distributions more times than not.

You want to move from a BATCH PROTOCOL to a TEST PROTOCOL and we don't have any numbers yet.

BATCH PROTOCOL - While score>average repeat as necessary
TEST PROTOCOL - You need half a dozen figures to work out the number of trials.

If you INSIST on predeclaring how many trials you are going to do, then there is no point in continuing as we haven't even *tested* the BATCH PROTOCOL.

Your meaning of RIGHT is merely - odds calculated to 100% precision.

I can probably break 24:1 ODDS 10 batches runnning! That's 6,000,000,000,000:1 ODDS.

We don't know at this point.

If there's no $1,000,000 on offer why do you insist on working out the exact ODDS?

Concentrate on getting REPEATABLE OBJECTIVE RESULTS - NOTHING MORE AT THIS POINT.
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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 10:04

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 10:36

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 11:03

For Christ's sake.

The expected average is 1 out of 4 right. Both methods agree at that expected average.

Just to give you something objective, I'll set my paranormal bias at +50%.

That's 1.5 right per batch ON AVERAGE.

Can you proceed now?

Exact stats are a little tricky, e.g. since I can repeat guesses how do you measure 3/4?

YOU WON'T FIND ANY STATISTICIAN WHO WILL WORK IT OUT FOR YOU HOW TO TALLY BATCHES.

*I* can ask sci.math because I know how to word the question, but it's not worth my time!
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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 11:39

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 11:45

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 11:48

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 11:59

Arouet for the 5th time.

I do realise that breaking 3.4:1 ODDs is not significant.

I never said it was, I used the term PASS FOR A SINGLE BATCH IS 2/4.
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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 12:02

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 12:08

Arouet here is my challenge to you.

This is my channel from Batch 3 Word 1

Word 1 channel is ((Potro del Mantelete a coin and told him to telephone Peregil from the))

Go and find that word and post it with 4 new random options.

See how I go with a simpler protocol.

You here to argue or do a paranormal test?
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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby G. ADAM » 26 Feb 2011, 13:53

Your 1 hour is up!

This is all a big charade to conceal the WORD 1 from batch 3.

Skeptics always bail when the power is evident. :lol:

Arouet The Skeptic - BUSTED!
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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 15:15

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 15:19

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Re: I can do telepathy EASY! - NSA

Postby Arouet » 26 Feb 2011, 15:22

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