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Confirmation Bias Debunked!

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Re: Confirmation Bias Debunked!

Postby Twain Shakespeare » 06 Sep 2011, 09:36

Craig Browning wrote:
Arouet wrote:Craig: what you are alleging here is not confirmation bias: you're talking about pure corruption. CB is an unconscious process. We don't do it on purpose. Science must control for it, however.

I realize that and :oops: excuse my rant... I've been dealing with idiots the past few weeks, while ill, groggy and getting more and more frustrated, so I lashed in on things here that are a bit "exaggerated"... while CB remains a sort of undercurrent to what I've said, I will agree that there are other factors involved when it comes to getting the approval and/or supportive results, noted. Hell, I've seen all the data (pro & con) about becoming a Vegetarian as well as the same around my ancestral habit of being a Meat & Starch fed entity... then again, how many vegans have you seen with enough solid muscle on them to heft a dead deer caucus :twisted: (most of them have problems with a bag of potatoes...except for the lesbians :roll: )

Composed heartfelt prayer for your health, Craig. Hit save instead of send. If I find it, you may be deluged with lost posts. Please get well, amigo

Found it!!!

Very sorry for your ill health, my amigo. I hope "wading" thru my jargon doesn't continue to be a chore, because, Craig, of all the people here, I think I basically "agree" with you the most, and, from what I know of you as a person, "respect" you the most of all those I usually interact with here, and, therefore, I "like" the most.

I hope you think enough of my opinion that my good opinion of you contributes to your good feelings about yourself, for that is the most I can truly prayer on your behalf. Be good, and good health be in you, Amigo.
"What's so Funny about Peace, Love, and Understanding?"
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Re: Confirmation Bias Debunked!

Postby The Necromancer » 09 Nov 2015, 04:06

Sorry for bumping this up, but I wanted to talk about this without creating another thread.

'Confirmation Bias' is another underhanded tactic pseudoskeptics like to use to try to explain the reason why psychics 'feel' what they do.

You have a feeling/theory which is either borne out or influenced by Should we say the theory never happened or the experience never happened? they just seemed to co-relate and reinforce each other, that's all.

The alternative is the 'argumentum ad populum' world that pseudoskeptics live in, where they cannot even have a single idea, notion or theory unless it's a child of their religion called 'science' or has already been thought about by a much proficient and more highly skilled pseudoskeptic.

So, when is something just 'confirmation' which leads us to explore on from that, discovering new methods and possibilities...or 'confirmation bias' which only leads us to dismiss that confirmation as a kind of 'I knew it would happen anyway, ergo it didn't happen'?

This 'confirmation bias' is a whole load of codswallop...and it's more of a 'you are either with US or with THEM' argument that stupid pseudoskeptics use to further annoy people.
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Re: Confirmation Bias Debunked!

Postby TheLight954 » 12 Aug 2016, 06:49

I'm pretty sure my cases of precognitive dreams is NOT confirmation bias. Firstly, my family has zero history of dreaming about new things, much less vividly. When you dream of flying in a transparent airplane and you find out very soon after that it gets invented, this is truly something to investigate and not to just dismiss as sheer coincidence.

Also, in my case of sleep paralysis predicting an earthquake, this is the first dream that I recall thinking that it was real even shortly after I woke up for the first time(no earthquake of magnitude greater than 2 happened anywhere near me. Magnitudes of 2 or less happen several times daily by the way in my area). It took me until I woke up for real way later to become back to sanity. Also, I apparently woke up for no reason(and not to mention it was probably the earliest I've ever woke up), as normally I when I wake up in the middle of the night I'm urging to go to the bathroom.

What strikes me bizarre is when some case might be confirmation bias, pseudoskeptics say it MUST be confirmation bias. And even after it has been ruled out, sometimes pseudoskeptics keep on insisting on it.
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