Discussions about Psychics and Psychic Phenomena, Extra Sensory Perception, Telepathy, Psi, Clairvoyancy, 6th Sense, Psychokinesis, etc.
02 Mar 2011, 15:18
Why are you blackmailing me?
Just ask me the words! Skip the stats. You can do the stats in 2056AD
I have no objective to prove anything to SCEPCOP forum members. I just want to beat the expected average.
5 tests is 20 words.
Expected average TOTAL COMBINED HITS for such a test is 5 right.
do you understand that?
REALLY UNDERSTAND IT?
It doesn't matter if you get 0 0 0 4 1. THAT'S EXPECTED
It doesn't matter if you get 1 1 1 1 1. THAT'S EXPECTED
2 2 2 2 2 is a bit more interesting, that's 454:1
I'VE TOLD YOU IN BOLD LETTERS 10 TIMES ALREADY THAT I UNDERSTAND 2/4 OR 3.4:1 ODDS IS NOT SIGNIFICANT.
STOP TWISTING THE DEBATE WITH STUPID N0NSENSE
Last time you posted "I UNDERSTAND" I said ONE (1) word matches and you went on about ALL words matching.
I want someone to follow my protocol, not design it!
02 Mar 2011, 15:22
LOOK AROUET!
you keep repeating the same 5 objections 10 times running each!
I DON'T NEEDS SIGNIFICANT DATA TO TEST IF ITS SIGNIFICANT
02 Mar 2011, 15:35
LOOK WE'VE ALREADY COVERED THIS:
1/ 2/4 on a single batch is not significant
2/ Posting the options the day after the channel may or may not help
3/ POINT 1 has nothing to do with the accuracy of the binomial odds calculator
4/ If POINT 2 does help, it's got to be based on GMT midnight
I only need 2 trials where the options are posted on the next day GMT.
You took 10 days working around that.
I don't need this *fuddlesticks*
Either do as I say or I'll *fuddlesticks* off for good.
10 years of this *fuddlesticks* mate.
*SELF CENSORED WHILE NINJA IS AWAY
02 Mar 2011, 21:29
I'll suggest a revision to the Basic Word Guessing Protocol, which limits us to 1 word / day.
TESTER
Get random word and numbers.
PM to 2 umpires
Post 2 numbers
GUESSER
Post channel from the 2 numbers
TESTER
Posts that he got the channel
Wait
GUESSER
Posts request for 4 word options. (shortly after midnight GMT)
TESTER
Posts 4 options
GUESSER
Posts guess
TESTER
Scores
Starts on next word.
------------------------
I only need about 3 words to see if it's an improvement or not,
the TESTER setting his forum time to GMT might help, but I'm not rationalizing why so.
02 Mar 2011, 21:53
Once I've posted my guess it should be safe for anyone to post comments.
GUESSER
Posts guess
DISCUSSION ALLOWEDTESTER
Scores
Starts on next word.
QUIET WHILE TEST IS IN PROGRESS
03 Mar 2011, 00:45
Good Gravy!
Please, somebody pinch this turd off!
..don't forget to flush.
03 Mar 2011, 10:39
Arouet, can you post 4 random words please?
Simple justification: we can begin the test at least 1 day after, and use those options.
03 Mar 2011, 17:44
G. Adam, I'm not interested in a protocol where we're doing one test a day that we have to split up between pre-midnight GMT and post midnight GMT and we do one trial a day. I really get the sense that you're just jerking me around. You're certainly not going to be applying for the MDC to do a challenge where they must test you for a year or two because you can only do one trial a day!
You come up with something more reasonable, maybe I'll play along for awhile longer,
03 Mar 2011, 18:45
No this is really quick.
TEST RUN
You post 4 random words.
Wait a day.
You select a word and post a line number
I post my channel AND GUESS TOGETHER
If that works, then here is the clever part.
You post 10 batches of 4 random words.
We wait a day.
We can trial 1 word selection from each batch as fast as you want, only 1 post each per trial, no limitations.
03 Mar 2011, 23:09
Ok, we'll try that.
Four random words: (still will be nouns)
1. Gin
2. Frustration
3. Governor
4. Pin
04 Mar 2011, 02:37
Great! While we kill 24 hours, I just finished programming a website that does the batch protocol!
Only difference is the 4 words are entered up front. I got 2/4 first go, but going to do a proper set tomorrow.
I actually think doing the 4 teleasks running one after the other puts them in the right order by forcing the options to connect directly with the clue. No random options left.
But 1 guess at a time is worth checking out too, as it's simpler to demo.
I added a STOP button to better randomize the line numbers incase a Random Seed helps.
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