The Skeptics so called paranormal competitions for prize money all use
a contractual protocol. CSICOP 'offer' to view paranormal demos but then
they back out by saying it must be more than a rudimentary demo and must
show objective results and end up using the contractual protocol all over again.
CONTRACTUAL PROTOCOL
Given expected hit ratio, expected average, calculate number of trials to defeat 1,000,000:1
Do fixed number of trials and grant PASS if ODDS BROKEN > 1,000,000:1
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What should be going on, and only takes a few trials to check is this:
INVESTIGATIVE PROTOCOL
REPEAT
-Demo run of 1 trial.
-Make changes to protocol (if necessary due to new testing environment)
UNTIL THE CLAIMANT IS SATISFIED WITH THE PROTOCOL
WHILE (hit ratio > (expected average + minimum bias))
OR (trials < minimum trials)
REPEAT another trial, tally ODDS until 1,000,000:1 is broken.
Basically you get a few trials for the paranormal bias to exceed the
minimum bias, and tally the ODDS. There is a minor adjustment to the
ODDS calculation because the start trial and end trial will both be
hits so you have to compensate for cherry picking the sample segment,
not a practical issue as the paranormal bias is still evidently repeatable.
No powers? By the law of averages the average hit ratio will drop below the
expected average + min. bias. pretty quickly.
