Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

[Scepcop]

Hi all,
Someone on my other forum posted this, asking for critical analysis: (I'll show him the responses in this thread)

http://www.happierabroad.com/forum/view ... hp?p=37423

I posted a link yesterday about this guy asking for critical analysis (esp. from skeptics) but it seems to have fallen through cracks. So Ima try again. Here it is:

I just caught him yesterday after Japan area Tsunami. His Youtube Channel seems to be relatively unknown. I don't know if there is some way to manipulate post dates on Youtube. If not, this guy made some eerily accurate predictions. His Facebook account was suspended after he made the first prediction. It will be interesting to see what happens to his Youtube account.

1. Earthquake prediction made on February 17, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... mAK0HhoOAA

2. 6.5 Earthquake in New Zealand happened on February 21, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... dRPL6n2zAY

3. Major earthquake predicted on March 3, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... sAJQmTFGKQ

4. 7.2 Earthquake in Japan happened on March 8, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... TrmJEHqJHg

5. Yesterday, March 11, 2011, record breaking massive 8.9 earthquake followed by Tsunami hits northern coast of Japan
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... odZZD7Memw
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... rP3__0z8Z0

He comes-off as a bit of a nutter in the latter part this latest vid:

http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... AjSxYM9L1U

[Arouet]

There's an excellent JREF thread on someone else who apparently "predicted" the Japan earthquake. Well worth reading:

http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=203179

[Scepcop]

Can you see if that's the same person that my friend mentioned?

[Arouet]

I don't know. The point is: predicting earthquakes in a region where earthquakes are prevalent is not much of a prediction. If you read the JREF thread you will understand.

[NinjaPuppy]

[really?]

[Arouet]

I agree that the tone can be harsh there and you know that's not my style. But still, we must separate out the tone from the content. You can pass quickly over the contentless posts, but mixed in are some really solid posts: pointing out that this was a guy who frequented the USGC site and was very familiar with earthquakes and where they happen. Detailed stats on just how many earthquakes hit that region. Noting that the dreamer had identified another earthquake as the one in question.

Don't confuse the medium for the message. The JREF is filled with some VERY smart people with crack analytical skills. Even if they are not the most polite.

[NinjaPuppy]