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Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

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Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby Scepcop » 13 Mar 2011, 03:19

Hi all,
Someone on my other forum posted this, asking for critical analysis: (I'll show him the responses in this thread)

http://www.happierabroad.com/forum/view ... hp?p=37423

I posted a link yesterday about this guy asking for critical analysis (esp. from skeptics) but it seems to have fallen through cracks. So Ima try again. Here it is:

I just caught him yesterday after Japan area Tsunami. His Youtube Channel seems to be relatively unknown. I don't know if there is some way to manipulate post dates on Youtube. If not, this guy made some eerily accurate predictions. His Facebook account was suspended after he made the first prediction. It will be interesting to see what happens to his Youtube account.

1. Earthquake prediction made on February 17, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... mAK0HhoOAA

2. 6.5 Earthquake in New Zealand happened on February 21, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... dRPL6n2zAY

3. Major earthquake predicted on March 3, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... sAJQmTFGKQ

4. 7.2 Earthquake in Japan happened on March 8, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... TrmJEHqJHg

5. Yesterday, March 11, 2011, record breaking massive 8.9 earthquake followed by Tsunami hits northern coast of Japan
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... odZZD7Memw
http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... rP3__0z8Z0

He comes-off as a bit of a nutter in the latter part this latest vid:

http://www.youtube.com/user/Italianlad6 ... AjSxYM9L1U
“Devotion to the truth is the hallmark of morality; there is no greater, nobler, more heroic form of devotion than the act of a man who assumes the responsibility of thinking.” - Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby Arouet » 13 Mar 2011, 11:24

There's an excellent JREF thread on someone else who apparently "predicted" the Japan earthquake. Well worth reading:

http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=203179
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby Scepcop » 13 Mar 2011, 23:49

Can you see if that's the same person that my friend mentioned?
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby Arouet » 14 Mar 2011, 00:56

I don't know. The point is: predicting earthquakes in a region where earthquakes are prevalent is not much of a prediction. If you read the JREF thread you will understand.
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby NinjaPuppy » 14 Mar 2011, 20:14

Arouet wrote:I don't know. The point is: predicting earthquakes in a region where earthquakes are prevalent is not much of a prediction. If you read the JREF thread you will understand.

I read it, and all I ever understand on that Forum is that negativity and scoffing is encouraged. They are like a pack of heyenas waiting to attack. Yes, one dream about an earthquake about an area that gets them regularly does not constitute paranormal ability. Nor does predicting the magnatude or general location or the date but IMO, it's a start. Everybody's got to start somewhere.

I guess I'm just grateful for the people on this Forum. Especially watching you Arouet, with G.Adam and his protocol. You took the time to work with someone to show the holes in his theory. You offered your input and asked educated questions about theory. It was not only a refreshing break from negativity, it was a pleasant journey.
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby really? » 14 Mar 2011, 22:15

NinjaPuppy wrote:
Arouet wrote:I don't know. The point is: predicting earthquakes in a region where earthquakes are prevalent is not much of a prediction. If you read the JREF thread you will understand.

I read it, and all I ever understand on that Forum is that negativity and scoffing is encouraged. They are like a pack of heyenas waiting to attack. Yes, one dream about an earthquake about an area that gets them regularly does not constitute paranormal ability. Nor does predicting the magnatude or general location or the date but IMO, it's a start. Everybody's got to start somewhere.

I guess I'm just grateful for the people on this Forum. Especially watching you Arouet, with G.Adam and his protocol. You took the time to work with someone to show the holes in his theory. You offered your input and asked educated questions about theory. It was not only a refreshing break from negativity, it was a pleasant journey.


*I agree that it can be very rough there. That's because time and again their are people that propose what if's possibilities without thinking their ideas through and recognizing the shortcomings of their ideas. Skeptics are just generally better at recognizing out what's wrong with an idea and pointing the wrongs out. That's why you see so much what you call negativity. What you see as negativity I see as unvarnished hard hitting truth seeking however. Further still those persons sometimes persist in defending their position to the point of absurdity Then they argue they are right and everyone else is wrong when they should step back and take a second look at what they are saying. It's the same routine over and over. Only the player is different. Both camps what the truth. I've noticed that proponets though have a less stringent level of acceptable confirmation. Skeptics set the the level higher much higher usually.

all I ever understand on that Forum is that negativity and scoffing is encouraged. They are like a pack of heyenas waiting to attack.

Specifically to this. Everyone that holds an unproven belief comes to the JREF Forum of their on volition with full knowledge of what the consequences might be when they post. When you walk into the lions den you better have a very sound argument. I can't recall one proponent that comes there that does.

* You should go to a science conference. It's not a kumbaya time their either. That's how things get done.

Here are some major players that clearly exemplify what I'm talking about. Minor players also are there.
Attiyah http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=202582
Pixie of Key http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=203275
GIBHOR http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=203133
Anything by Bjarne or Bashadi too.
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby Arouet » 14 Mar 2011, 23:06

I agree that the tone can be harsh there and you know that's not my style. But still, we must separate out the tone from the content. You can pass quickly over the contentless posts, but mixed in are some really solid posts: pointing out that this was a guy who frequented the USGC site and was very familiar with earthquakes and where they happen. Detailed stats on just how many earthquakes hit that region. Noting that the dreamer had identified another earthquake as the one in question.

Don't confuse the medium for the message. The JREF is filled with some VERY smart people with crack analytical skills. Even if they are not the most polite.
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Re: Conspiracy Theorist Predicts Last 2 Earthquakes?

Postby NinjaPuppy » 15 Mar 2011, 04:06

Arouet wrote:Don't confuse the medium for the message. The JREF is filled with some VERY smart people with crack analytical skills. Even if they are not the most polite.

I can see by the sheer volume of posts that the JREF has a wide variety of posters who also have specialized areas of expertise. I'm also sure that they get tired of answering the same questions and addressing the repetative bunk. I guess it's just real life on a skeptic forum. ;)
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